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Thursday, 29 March 2012

Olam


Olam looks to have found the bottom after it's recent selldown from 2.76.

I picked some up at 2.35 a couple of weeks ago before it got hit again slightly. It retested 2.30 which held firmly and has since crossed 2.35 and even tested 2.39 today. It has closed above the 100ma and is facing resistance at 2.39 the upper bollinger band. A break up will see 2.45.

Supposedly, there are banks buying up it's stock after one of the fund houses sold off their holdings which led to the fierce selldown.

On the weekly chart, we actually see 14,20week ema and 200wma rather flat at 2.39. A break will look to 2.48/9 which is the 50wma

Tuan Sing

I bought Tuan Sing about 1.5 weeks back at 29.5c after it pushed above the 14ema 20ma and 50ma lines
I only bought abit since it was a penny play.


Tuan Sing did a breakout on Tuesday on high volume. This pierce the upper bollinger band as well as closing well above the 200ma.

Today, it closed at 31c which is 0.5c higher. Again it pierce the band. This usually suggests more upside but as it's a controlled play, I'll be abit more cautious.

31.5c looks to be a resistance as we can see lots of sellors at 31c whom are looking to realise profits or cut their losses.

A break of 32c will see it test 33c followed by 35c.

STI 28th Mar

I'm finally back with a new harddisk.
Once again, I'll mention that we are in a sideways market right now. Slightly toppish but the bargain hunters are still there. Uncle Ben not ruling out QE3 has also given the markets a boost.


I haven't changed any drawings on my fibo. Thus we still see 3031 as the overhead resistance. We haven't managed to close above it yet.

We bounced off 3002 today. As Dow is currently red, I will mention the downside is probably around the 2984-2988 region (max) for tomorrow. That's the 20ma line.
When it dips to between 2995 and 2984, it's a chance to buy as it is in the "value" zone.
A break of 26th's low of 2974. will suggest more downside.

Do note that we are in the month-end, quarter-end period and there might be window dressing on index stocks. This also means i'll be busy with month end closing :(

Trade safe!

Sunday, 25 March 2012

Directionless market?

The markets can't seem to decide where to head. Especially STI.
The Dow seems to want to correct, but bargain hunters seems to be strongly upholding the markets.

Once again, if unsure, stay out for now!

I'll try to update individual stocks soon. Been really busy with work :(

Thursday, 22 March 2012

Limited updates this week

Sorry for the lack of updates this week.
My SSD died on me last weekend and thus I'm unable to do any charting

But as a whole, the market is currently ranging between 2950-3030 in my opinion. Safer to stay out if you are not nimble. The market does feel toppish, but if it manages to consolidate at this range for awhile, I'll be favouring heavily an upside leg next.

Trade safe!

Friday, 16 March 2012

STI at previous high

STI this morning, is flirting with the previous high 3031.

Breakout will see it heading for 3060..

PS: have been busy with work this week. Sorry for any lack of updates

Saturday, 10 March 2012

Update DOW and DAX

I decided to post the DAX (German) chart to show how similar the drops were last week.


DAX dropped to 6612 and retraced back to the 23.6% mark. This is much stronger than the DOW as well as STI. The DAX tends to move thick and fast and it shows here. Look at the high it on 21st Feb. Dow only hit it's high on the 29th (this coincides with DAX 2nd lower high). I deduced that DAX tends to move on European news much stronger, especially these few days.

I went to dig why DAX managed to hit a high on 21st and this was the headline news on Reuters. "Europe seals new Greek bailout but doubts remain". 
Immediate resistance ahead at 6883 with support at 6831 which is also the 20ma.



Dow dipped in the last hour back to below the 38.2% zone. Current support is the blue 14 ema line.
My friend drew an S&P 500 line and it has actually broken down below the trendline on tuesday. Friday it backtested the line and pullback. This makes friday a potential evening star but this needs confirmation.
For Dow, the main support for the bull trend since October is the blue line show there. I circled with the red dot on where it must bounce for the bull to stay alive. that's the 12803 on Monday and moves higher each passing day.

I shorted Dow just before closing but this is a very small position, with my stop at above 13060 actually. (gave more leeway). I'm looking for the move to break the supports.

Trade safe everyone.